2011年1月4日星期二

Clear gains in oil prices better than expected global economic recovery

New Year around the world, the international oil prices in the last trading day of 2010 has broken through the 91 dollars / barrel, a record high the past two years, the annual increase of about 15%. From the trend analysis, the international oil price is likely to continue to rise and break through 100 U.S. dollars / barrel. Then, rising international oil prices recently foreshadowed what? Is under inflationary pressure on the Chinese economy and what impact will? These issues are worth considering.

From the present point of view, affect the changes in international oil prices the main factor is its property instead of the financial attributes of goods. The reason of the financial property of the international oil prices have weakened, because the first half of 2008 experienced a frenzied speculation in international oil prices, U.S. oil futures strengthened on speculation of financial regulation, to curb rampant speculation on Wall Street had an outstanding impact of commodities are greatly overshadowed by the financial attributes. In addition, the dollar "is up", making the U.S. dollar and international oil price fluctuations in commodity prices such as the occasion presented "trade-off" relationship or features become less obvious impact of this can be explained by fluctuations in international oil prices " financial attributes "Why would weaken.

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